Dumfries, VA 3/1.5 townhouse (1,294 sq ft) with a comps-backed ARV of $375,000 and an asking price of $250,000, or 33% below ARV. Projected flip profit is $43,924 with an estimated 13% ROI.
Flip math: buy at $250,000 against a $375,000 ARV for a built-in discount of $125,000. With the provided major-rehab budget range of $45,500–$60,500, the underwriting still supports an estimated $43,924 margin (12%) and a 13% projected ROI.
Rental snapshot (secondary exit): estimated rent is $2,250/mo, but the current rental analysis under the stated assumptions shows -$75/mo cash flow, a 6% cap rate, and -1.8% cash-on-cash. This one underwrites cleaner as a flip than a long-term hold on conventional leverage.
Condition is noted as Major Rehab with an estimated $45,500–$60,500 repair budget; that value-add is the path to capturing the $375,000 ARV.
Looking for a cash buyer (or strong financing) who can close quickly.
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ARV $375,000
Seller’s own value
The seller’s 5 picked sales support $352,000, which is $23,000 less.