Houston, TX SFR (3/2, 1,756 sf): ARV $315,000 with a $215,000 buy price—32% below ARV and a projected $69,847 profit spread.
Flip case: Comps-backed ARV at $315,000. At $215,000, you’re buying at a 32% discount to ARV with an estimated flip profit of $69,847, projecting a 28% ROI and a 22% margin.
Rental case (as modeled): Estimated rent $1,900/mo, but the pro forma shows -$146/mo cash flow with a 5.6% cap rate and -4.1% cash-on-cash return (assumptions: 20% down, 7% interest, 30-year term, 20% expenses, 8% vacancy; 22 rent comps). This one pencils stronger as a flip than a buy-and-hold under those assumptions.
Condition is noted as turnkey, with an estimated repair budget ranging from $0 to $14,500 depending on your finish level—positioning any light rehab as the value-add path to full ARV.
Cash buyers and hard money friendly—looking for a quick close.
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ARV $315,000
Seller’s own value
The seller’s 5 picked sales support $242,000, which is $73,000 less.